An Under the Radar Electric Vehicle Stock

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) is the biggest EV school bus manufacturer in the United States. It achieved that status within two years of launching its product.  The company has  delivered 100% electric buses to nearly 25% of U.S. states over the last two years.  BLBD has stablished a stable supply network within the country and is expanding its market reach.

While most EV stocks with sound business models are trading at sky-high valuations, BLBD is still flying under the radar. In terms of non-GAAP forward P/E, the company is currently trading at 21.1x, 11.8% lower than the industry average of 23.93x.

However, given BLBD’s expertise in the highly specialized EV school buses market, we believe the company has significant growth potential as the country shifts from internal combustion vehicles to EVs in general. The stock has gained 5.4% over the past year. This, coupled with several other factors, has helped the stock to earn a “Buy” rating in our proprietary rating system.

Here is how our proprietary POWR Ratings system evaluates BLBD:

Trade Grade: A

BLBD is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $17.65 and $13.79, respectively, indicating a golden-cross uptrend. The stock has gained 92% over the past three months, reflecting solid short-term bullishness.

BLBD’s net income has increased 3% year-over-year to $11.94 million in the fiscal fourth quarter ended October 3, 2020. Its EPS has risen 2.3% from the same period last year to $0.44. Its cash from operating activities has grown 9.3% from the prior-year quarter to $81.76 million over this period.

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BLBD has garnered significant market share. Its proprietary all-electric school buses are a big success, with the company delivering 300th units as of last December. It is currently the only company in the market designing electric buses that are  suitable for all climates.

Buy & Hold Grade: C

In terms of proximity to 52-week high, which is a key factor that our Buy & Hold Grade takes considers , BLBD’s positioning is not too favorable. It is currently trading at a 17.5% discount to its 52-week high of $26.88.

BLBD has gained 14.8% over the past three years. The company’s focus on the school bus sector of the EV market has allowed it to emerge as the largest manufacturer in the sector . Its total assets have increased by 2.4% over the past three years.

Peer Grade: D

BLBD is currently ranked #43 of 67 stocks in the Auto Parts industry. Other popular stocks in this industry are Aptiv PLC (APTV), Johnson Controls International (JCI) and Cummins Inc. (CMI).

APTV, JCI and CMI have gained 58.1%, 27.1% and 45% over the past year, respectively. This compares to BLBD’s 5.4% returns over the same period.

Industry Rank: A

The auto parts industry is ranked #8 of 123 industries in the StockNews.com universe. The industry is poised to benefit from an  ongoing EV revolution globally, as people shift from gasoline fueled vehicles to greener alternatives. While most countries are already banning the sale of internal combustion  vehicles, and a Biden presidency is expected to facilitate the domestic EV industry, the demand for sustainable automotive parts is expected to rise. Moreover, as people are expected to travel more frequently post pandemic, the demand for cars, and spare parts for them, should rise also.

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Overall POWR Rating: B (Buy)

BLBD is rated “Buy” due to its solid short- term bullishness, impressive financials and underlying industry strength, as determined by the four components of overall POWR Rating.

Bottom Line

Given the Democrats stance on clean energy, BLBD has the potential to grow significantly. With the sale of new internal combustion vehicles likely to be banned by 2035, BLBD’s electric school buses are expected to be the most popular in this sector, given their features and broad climate  adaptability.

BLBD has an average broker rating of 1.75, indicating favorable analyst sentiment. Of two Wall Street Analysts that rated the stock, 1 rated it “Buy”. The consensus EPS estimate of $0.18 for the current quarter ending March 31, 2021 represents  an 80% rise year-over-year. Analysts expect BLBD’s revenue to rise 16.8% to $947.90 million next year.

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BLBD shares were trading at $22.30 per share on Friday morning, up $0.14 (+0.63%). Year-to-date, BLBD has gained 22.12%, versus a 2.51% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

About the Author: Aditi Ganguly

Aditi is an experienced content developer and financial writer who is passionate about helping investors understand the do’s and don’ts of investing. She has a keen interest in the stock market and has a fundamental approach when analyzing equities. More…

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